GLEAMviz Simulator: Modeling Infectious Disease Spread

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Mastering the GLEAMviz Simulator: A Complete Guide The GLEAMviz Simulator is a powerful tool for modeling the global spread of infectious diseases. It combines real-world mobility data, demographics, and biological mechanisms into a single framework. This guide outlines how to navigate the platform, build compartmental models, and extract actionable insights. Understanding the Core Architecture

GLEAMviz relies on a multi-layered population network to simulate transmission dynamics. The Population Layer

The global population is divided into thousands of geographic subpopulations. Each subpopulation centers around a major transportation hub, typically an airport. Demographic data determines the density and size of each zone. The Mobility Layer

Two distinct mobility networks drive the spatial spread of pathogens:

Short-range mobility: Commuting patterns between adjacent subpopulations dictate daily local interactions.

Long-range mobility: Global aviation data simulates flights between international hubs, driving cross-border transmission. Setting Up Your Epidemic Model

Building a simulation requires defining the biological progression of the disease and the initial conditions of the outbreak. 1. Defining the Compartmental Structure

You must design the infection lifecycle using a compartmental model. Common structures include:

SIR: Susceptible → Infectious → Recovered (suitable for influenza-like illnesses).

SEIR: Susceptible → Exposed → Infectious → Recovered (adds a latent period for diseases like SARS-CoV-2).

Custom Models: You can add specific states like Asymptomatic, Hospitalized, or Vaccinated to match exact outbreak profiles. 2. Configuring Transition Parameters

Transitions between compartments depend on specific rates and probabilities:

Transmission Rate (β): Controls the speed of infection between Susceptible and Infectious individuals.

Incubation Rate (ε): Dictates the time spent in the Exposed latent state.

Recovery Rate (μ): Determines how quickly infectious individuals move to the Recovered state. 3. Setting Initial Conditions

An outbreak needs a starting point. You must specify the introduction of the virus by choosing:

The specific subpopulation hub where the index case appears. The exact date of introduction. The initial number of infectious or exposed individuals. Running Simulations and Mitigations

Once the configuration is set, you can run stochastic simulations to account for real-world randomness. You can also implement intervention strategies mid-simulation to test their effectiveness. Intervention Options

Travel Restrictions: Reduce international flight capacities between specific regions or globally.

Social Distancing: Lower the local transmission rate (β) at specific timestamps to simulate lockdowns or mask mandates.

Vaccination Campaigns: Move a percentage of the Susceptible population directly to a Protected compartment over time. Analyzing the Output

GLEAMviz generates highly visual, time-series data detailing the evolution of the epidemic. Key Metrics to Monitor

Epidemic Curve: Tracks the daily count of active infections to identify peak timing and healthcare burden.

Spatial Progression: Maps the chronological arrival time of the virus in different countries.

Attribution Analysis: Identifies which mobility pathways or flight routes were most responsible for seeding new regions.

To help tailor more advanced tips for your specific project, tell me:

What specific disease or compartmental structure (SIR, SEIR, etc.) are you planning to model?

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